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OTHER INVESTOR
TRADING TOOLS |
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01/17/2006 07:00AM
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Results of a new, independent, university study conclude investor estimates for quarterly earnings (whisper numbers specifically from WhisperNumber.com) provide greater returns when used as an investment vehicle, and have a greater impact on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates. (full article)
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02/14/2006 05:00PM
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Sirius Satellite, Dell, and Hewlett Packard are a few of the big names investors will be tracking this week in earnings. But can they top individual investor expectations? Results of a recent study conclude investor estimates for quarterly earnings have a greater influence on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates. And can the major indices and commodity markets live up to bullish expectations? The month end outlook is provided below.(full article)
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01/23/2006 07:00AM
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The majority of public companies like Sirius and Microsoft will top analysts estimates, but the real question is will they top individual investor expectations? Results of a recent study conclude investor estimates for quarterly earnings (whisper numbers) have a greater influence on stock movement than analysts consensus estimates, and this earnings season is proving to be no different. (full article)
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01/24/2006 07:00AM
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The perception that companies react in a positive manner or are 'rewarded' for beating analysts consensus estimates should have the markets flying high - after all, 80% of the S&P 500 earnings so far have met or surpassed analyst estimates. In reality, the market is reacting to investor expectations that have only been met or exceeded 56% of the time. Investor expectations have been missed more than twice as much as the analyst estimates.
(full article)
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June 2004
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In a recent quarter, Thomson Financial/First Call posted the following statistics: 'Of the 190 companies that have made announcements about their third-quarter earnings so far, about half have said their earnings would miss Wall Street's forecasts, while 22 percent said they would beat estimates, and 28 percent said their results would be on target.' Let's take a look at that last percentage in a different light - 'Analysts will be wrong/off target with 72% of their estimates'. A 72% RATE OF ERROR!! (full article)
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April 2004
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Wall Street earnings analysis has been proven to be inaccurate. Few would argue this. Analysts, instead of being proactive when establishing earnings estimates, have become reactive. Rather then form their own opinion on a company's earnings prospects, they have chosen an easier path and now take direction from the public companies issuing guidance (whether truthful or misleading). (full article)
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February 2004
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Not too long ago we asked a business editor of the Associated Press (AP) why the AP would continue to publish information and 'direction' from firms, analysts, and experts when they had a track record of deliberately misleading investors. His answer: "If the bunk moves markets, then we'll publish the bunk". So these upstanding journalists don't care about right or wrong, good or bad - as long as the bunk can (supposedly) move a market, it's worth printing?
(full article)
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January 2004
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A few years back I considered myself an 'Ignorant Individual Investor'. I found out during the 'bubble years' that the playing field wasn't level, and that making money turned out to be much more difficult for me than for those 'in the know'. I followed the advice of so-called 'experts', made trades based on 'research' reports, and recommendations. But what I didn't know was that many of these recommendations and reports coming from analysts and professionals were 'bunk'. (full article)
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December 2003
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It was 'disclosed' earlier this year that the Director of this University of Michigan survey, Professor Claes Fornell, a well-known and distinguished professor at the University of Michigan, had been front running stock trades prior to the service being released. In a statement, the University admitted that Professor Claes Fornell has been 'purchasing stocks two weeks in advance of the reports being released' (this is better known as 'front running' a highly unethical and oftentimes illegal action, and is similar in nature to the current mutual funds scandal in the news now). It was reported that Fornell had been doing this for 3 years. (full article)
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June 2003
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Recently I was interviewed by the Wall Street Journal for a personal finance section piece entitled "A Shareholder's Guide to Grilling Companies". The article included the following: 'Shareholder advocates say action is overdue. In a November study by WhisperNumber.com 80% of respondents said corporate investor-relation offices aren't individual-investor friendly.' The conclusion of the article led to the fact that IR departments are not exactly going out of there way to meet the needs of individual investors. (full article)
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June 2003
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This weekend the well read and respected Barron's revealed its true colors. Although within the past year alone Barron's has recommended our services and published our survey data, they chose to show their bias in favor of analysts and investments banks when they published a one-sided and misleading story against our company. (full article)
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June 2003
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At Goldman Sachs there is a new 'for every action there must be an equal and opposite reaction' when it comes to upgrades and downgrades. This 'policy', which I have never even heard rumors of, is unknown to the main street individual investor. It apparently mandates that a certain percentage of downgrades must be maintained for a certain percentage of upgrades within each sector of coverage. (full article)
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