How Will eBay and Amex Traders React to Earnings Today?

October 21st, 2015

eBay (EBAY) is expected to report earnings on Wednesday, October 21st. The whisper number is $0.44, four cents ahead of the analysts' estimate and showing confidence from the WhisperNumber community. eBay has a 62% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 40 of the 65 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 40 qtrs
- Met whisper: 3 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 22 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we analyze what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:



The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:



Overall historical data indicates the company to be (on average) an 'as expected' price reactor when the company reports earnings.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here.


American Express (AXP) is expected to report earnings on Wednesday, October 21st. The whisper number is $1.31, in-line with the analysts' estimate and showing neutral confidence from the WhisperNumber community. Amex has a 55% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 23 of the 42 earnings reports for which we have data).

Earnings history:

- Beat whisper: 23 qtrs
- Met whisper: 1 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 18 qtrs

Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we analyze what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:



The table below indicates the most recent earnings reports and short-term price reaction:



Overall historical data indicates the company to be (on average) an 'oppposite' price reactor when the company reports earnings.

Enter your expectation and view more earnings information here.

Since 1998, WhisperNumber.com has been tracking and publishing crowd-sourced estimates for earnings. We call these earnings expectations whisper numbers. Our whisper numbers are gained from individual investors and traders just like you that have registered with our site. WhisperNumber is completely open and free for anyone to contribute. While the whisper number itself is an important part of our analysis, a company's 'price reaction' to beating or missing the whisper number expectation is the key. On average, companies that exceed the whisper are 'rewarded', while companies that miss are 'punished' following an earnings report. Trading on whispers is a technical play on market psychology, rather than a bet on a company's fundamental strengths.

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